Boston College
W-L: (34-25) PR = 95.8612Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 4 214 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 1- 5 215 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 10- 0 220 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 9- 2 221 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 4- 5 222 H Cornell IVY ( 1- 3, 95.5) 7- 6 222 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 5- 8 227 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 10- 4 228 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 5-11 301 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4 303 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 1 304 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 9- 5 306 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 8-10 307 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 3- 5 308 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 9- 5 310 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 26-19 313 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 2- 4 314 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 12- 5 315 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 1- 5 317 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 5- 5 318 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 12- 7 320 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 4- 3 321 A Dallas Baptist 9-10 322 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 2 324 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 2 325 H Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 12- 2 327 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 5- 3 328 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 17- 0 329 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 1- 3 331 H Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 7- 4 402 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 6- 1 403 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 404 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 7- 8 407 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11-12 408 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 13- 8 410 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 8- 4 411 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 8- 7 412 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 6- 2 414 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 1 415 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 8- 5 417 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 11- 1 418 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 4- 2 418 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 14- 6 421 H Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 4- 6 424 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 2-12 425 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 16- 1 426 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 7- 6 428 A Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 7- 6 501 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 8- 4 502 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 4-14 503 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 3- 4 513 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 6-23 514 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 0- 8 515 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 1- 6 516 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 2-15 521 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 2- 8 529 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 4 530 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 8- 4 530 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 8- 4 531 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Seton Hall 6- 4 2 5 - -2.72
214 H Houston 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.94
215 H Washington 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.34
220 H Evansville 9- 2 7 5 1.95
221 A Northwestern 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.67
222 H Cornell 7- 6 1 1 -0.02
222 H Northwestern 5- 8 -3 4 --- -7.02
227 A Florida Gulf Coast 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.88
228 A Florida Gulf Coast 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.12
301 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.12
303 H Georgia State 4- 1 3 3 0.10
304 H Miami 9- 5 4 0 + 3.91
306 H TCU 8-10 -2 1 - -2.61
307 A Miami 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.74
308 A Miami 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.26
310 A UConn 26-19 7 1 +++ 6.17
313 A NC State 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.80
314 A NC State 12- 5 7 -1 +++ 8.20
315 A NC State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.80
317 A The Citadel 5- 5 0 0 -0.24
318 A Northeastern 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.24
320 H California 4- 3 1 1 -0.40
322 H California 3- 2 1 1 -0.40
324 A Northeastern 3- 2 1 1 0.24
325 H Merrimack 12- 2 10 7 + 3.12
327 H Virginia 5- 3 2 0 1.56
328 H Virginia 17- 0 17 0 +++ 13.56
329 H Virginia 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.44
331 H Maine 7- 4 3 3 -0.46
402 A North Carolina 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.61
403 A North Carolina 2- 5 -3 -4 0.61
404 A North Carolina 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.61
407 A Rutgers 11-12 -1 1 - -2.29
408 A Cincinnati 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 6.58
410 A UC San Diego 8- 4 4 1 + 3.23
411 H Virginia Tech 8- 7 1 1 -0.24
412 H Virginia Tech 6- 2 4 1 + 2.76
414 H Northeastern 3- 1 2 2 -0.11
415 H UConn 8- 5 3 2 0.82
417 H Duke 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.96
418 H Duke 4- 2 2 2 -0.04
418 H Duke 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.96
421 H Maine 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.46
424 A Notre Dame 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.29
425 A Notre Dame 16- 1 15 -1 +++ 14.71
426 A Notre Dame 7- 6 1 -1 1.71
428 A Massachusetts at Lowe 7- 6 1 5 - -3.67
501 A Clemson 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.46
502 A Clemson 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.54
503 A Clemson 3- 4 -1 0 -0.54
513 H Purdue 6-23 -17 0 --- -14.19
514 A Loyola Marymount 0- 8 -8 4 --- -12.22
515 A East Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.45
516 H Georgia Tech 2-15 -13 -3 --- -9.64
521 H Miami of Florida 2- 8 -6 1 --- -6.89
529 H Liberty 3- 4 -1 0 -1.39
530 A Long Island University 8- 4 4 3 0.99
530 A Long Island University 8- 4 4 3 0.99
531 A Liberty 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Northwestern 5- 8 -3 4 --- -7.02 228 A Florida Gulf Coast 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.12 424 A Notre Dame 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.29 502 A Clemson 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.54 513 H Purdue 6-23 -17 0 --- -14.19 514 A Loyola Marymount 0- 8 -8 4 --- -12.22 516 H Georgia Tech 2-15 -13 -3 --- -9.64 521 H Miami of Florida 2- 8 -6 1 --- -6.89 214 H Houston 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.94 421 H Maine 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.46 531 A Liberty 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.04 213 A Seton Hall 6- 4 2 5 - -2.72 221 A Northwestern 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.67 301 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.12 306 H TCU 8-10 -2 1 - -2.61 315 A NC State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.80 329 H Virginia 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.44 407 A Rutgers 11-12 -1 1 - -2.29 428 A Massachusetts at Lowe 7- 6 1 5 - -3.67 515 A East Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Washington 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.34 310 A UConn 26-19 7 1 +++ 6.17 314 A NC State 12- 5 7 -1 +++ 8.20 328 H Virginia 17- 0 17 0 +++ 13.56 402 A North Carolina 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.61 408 A Cincinnati 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 6.58 417 H Duke 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.96 425 A Notre Dame 16- 1 15 -1 +++ 14.71 227 A Florida Gulf Coast 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.88 308 A Miami 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.26 318 A Northeastern 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.24 418 H Duke 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.96 501 A Clemson 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.46 304 H Miami 9- 5 4 0 + 3.91 325 H Merrimack 12- 2 10 7 + 3.12 404 A North Carolina 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.61 410 A UC San Diego 8- 4 4 1 + 3.23 412 H Virginia Tech 6- 2 4 1 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 4 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.49 9.47
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 1- 5 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.49 -1.47
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 10- 0 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.49 11.50
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 9- 2 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.49 9.15
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 4- 5 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.49 -1.64
3 H Cornell ( 1- 3, 95.5) 7- 6 -4.39 14.04 -0.68 0.49 13.10
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 5- 8 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.49 -1.98
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 10- 4 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.49 13.01
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 5-11 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.49 -1.26
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.49 -1.26
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 1 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.49 11.26
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 9- 5 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.49 14.01
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 8-10 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.49 -1.14
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 3- 5 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.49 -0.68
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 9- 5 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.49 15.34
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 26-19 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.49 13.29
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 2- 4 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.49 -0.70
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 12- 5 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.49 15.28
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 1- 5 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.49 -0.70
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 5- 5 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.49 0.00
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 12- 7 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.49 13.36
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 4- 3 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.49 12.73
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.49 12.73
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.49 13.36
3 H Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 12- 2 -10.24 8.19 -0.68 0.49 7.36
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 5- 3 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.49 13.68
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 17- 0 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.49 13.68
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 1- 3 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.49 -1.10
3 H Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 7- 4 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.49 10.71
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 6- 1 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.49 17.65
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.49 -0.10
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 7- 8 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.49 -0.10
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 11-12 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.49 -1.31
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 13- 8 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.49 15.66
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 8- 4 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.49 13.35
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 8- 7 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.49 12.89
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 6- 2 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.49 12.89
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 1 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.49 12.04
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 8- 5 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.49 11.97
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 11- 1 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.49 12.10
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 4- 2 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.49 12.10
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 14- 6 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.49 12.10
3 H Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 4- 6 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.49 -1.84
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 2-12 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.49 -0.82
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 16- 1 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.49 14.80
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 7- 6 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.49 14.80
3 A Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 7- 6 -9.38 9.04 0.68 0.49 9.53
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 8- 4 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.49 14.55
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 4-14 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.49 -0.88
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 3- 4 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.49 -0.88
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 6-23 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.49 -1.04
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 0- 8 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.49 -2.02
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 1- 6 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.49 -0.61
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 2-15 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.49 -0.17
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 2- 8 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.49 -1.21
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 4 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.49 -1.08
3 A Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 8- 4 -7.73 10.70 0.68 0.49 11.15
3 A Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 8- 4 -7.73 10.70 0.68 0.49 11.15
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 8 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.49 -0.75
------
407.02
|
winning pts = 431.7539 losing points = -24.7329
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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